joe
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Location, location, location! between formation of a storm and geographical location of Barbados.
Zoom in on to this map,look closely at the east just above South America compare the amount of hurricane tracks from the this part, the tracks of countless systems that battered the region further in the western side,do you see a trend,notice the closer you are to the west and north west region of the Atlantic the more likely your to be hit by a Storm/Hurricane directly.http://www.soton.ac.uk/~imw/jpg-Chesil/5CH-Hurricane-track.jpg
The chances are good,but wait a minute remember,Barbados is situated out in the Atlantic,meaning if a strong hurricane were to hit it,the system would have to be held in line with a high pressure ridge to the north which usually hangs over the north north east [mid] Atlantic.
However sometime due to the staring currents,[wind] in the atmosphere interacting with many other features the system tends to move to the north and west way a head ,before getting to Barbados,which is one of the reasons why Barbados is not hit due to its more easterly location from the other islands,in terms of Latitude/Longitude 13º 10N, 59º 32W and a number of events that may take place that are not easily predicted.
Another reason too is the fact it depends on when in the season,the situation describe earlier was if the season is at its peak,or the Cape Verde when almost all developments are thrown further east out of the Caribbean sea,to put it like that. |
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